Guide / Resources / Three Horizons

Core tool

Three Horizons

hold three futures at once

ToolPurposeDecisive

what it is

Hold three futures at once

A simple way to look at the world as it is now, the world you want, and the messy transition in between — all at the same time. It stops you either defending the present or chasing the future in isolation.

H1 · nowH2 · transitionH3 · futurenowfutureprevalence / fit

H1 fades as the world changes; H3 grows; H2 is the bumpy bridge between them.

the three horizons

The three horizons

Horizon 1 · now

The current way of working. What's still serving us, what's quietly declining, and what we already need to change.

Horizon 2 · transition

The bridge. What we'll start, continue and stop to get from here to there. This is where the tension and the experiments live.

Horizon 3 · future

The preferred future. The resilient organisation we want to be — described clearly enough to steer towards.

capture

Map your horizons

Horizon 1

What we need to change. Our assets and our priorities today.

Horizon 2

What we will start, continue and stop.

Horizon 3

Where we want to be — resilient, by design.

how to use it

Work the horizons

1

Map Horizon 1

Name what's working now and what's already declining. Be honest about what's fading.

2

Picture Horizon 3

Describe the resilient future you want — specific, not a slogan.

3

Work the transition

In Horizon 2, decide what to start, continue and stop to bridge the gap.

4

Choose where to act

Pick the few moves that matter most — then make them concrete (try backcasting from H3).

resilience

Why this matters

Three Horizons is the backbone of the prioritise-and-plan step: it turns a maturity assessment into a path, and a preferred future into things you can actually start.

Anticipating possible futures · Preparing for uncertainty · Adapting by design · Responding with confidence — Three Horizons holds all four modes of the cycle in one picture.